Thursday, June 9, 2011

Phillies Report

There has never been so much concern over a first-place team. The Phillies don't just own first place in the NL East, but they have the best record in baseball as well, at 37-25. But the offense has people worrying.

The Phillies have the second-best team ERA in the league at 3.17; only division rival Atlanta's is better. Roy Halladay has been his usual self and Cole Hamels has been spectacular. Roy Oswalt hasn't been dominant but solid enough, and Cliff Lee has been inconsistent even though he leads baseball with 100 strikeouts. All four have ERAs under four, with Lee's being the highest at 3.63.

The bullpen, particularly the back end, has been stellar. Ryan Madson is 14/14 on save opportunities and looks like he has the tools to be the closer for the years to come. Jose Contreras has picked up where he left off last season, and while he's been injured a good part of the year, his ERA is at a sparkling 0.77. 25-year-old Antonio Bastardo has really come into his own this year, and has allowed just three runs and eleven hits in 23 innings on the year. Charlie Manuel has shown faith in the young southpaw, inserting him in late-game pressure situations, and Bastardo has come through for him repeatedly.

But the pitching isn't the problem. Not at all. The offense is 17th in baseball in runs scored. The Houston Astros have put up more runs so far than the once potent Phillies offense. Fans and manager alike are becoming antsy over the lack of run production.

I attended last night's game against the Dodgers when the Phillies offense was bailed out by Cole Hamels in a 2-0 win. The stud lefty threw eight scoreless. That has been Phils baseball this season. It is not nearly as flashy as the high scoring games of a few years ago, but I see no problem with it. If the Fightins remain atop the standings winning 3-2 games, what does it matter? It is still possible to win a World Series that way.

The injuries have plagued the offense to a large extent. It seems like every one of the starters has had a DL stint already. Jimmy Rollins was gone awhile, Chase Utley just came back, and Dom Brown as well.

Injuries are by no means an excuse, however. The guys in the lineup simply are not hitting like they should be. Yes, opposing teams have finally discovered throwing more breaking balls against the Phils is the correct approach, but a team average of .247 is just not acceptable for a team of this caliber. Placido Polanco has been the only consistent bat throughout the season. Ryan Howard and Raul Ibanez have been hovering in the .240 range. While Howard is third in the NL with 48 RBIs already, he is on pace to strike out over 200 times for the first time in his career (though he has struck out 199 times twice).

While the offensive stats do not look pretty on paper, the worry seems a bit exaggerated. When everyone comes back to protect each other in the order is when this offense should start to be evaluated. In the meantime, I am perfectly happy with letting the pitching carry the Phillies.

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